Former US President Donald Trump (2017-2021) would win the elections in five of the six key states that will presumably define the presidency on November 5, according to a series of surveys published this Monday by The New York Times.
Meanwhile, President Joe Biden's reputation continues at its lowest hours, dragged down by the desire for change, discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza, the newspaper notes.
Polls conducted from April 28 to May 9 by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer with a sample of 4,000 people indicate that the Democratic president is losing support especially among young, black and Hispanic voters, a large part of the base of his electorate.
Trump is ahead in five of six key states: Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania. Of the hinge states (which, due to the closeness of their results, will presumably define the presidency) Biden would only win Wisconsin.
This is data on registered voters, which are those who, in response to a standard survey question, say they are “registered to vote in their precinct.”
The survey, the newspaper states, reveals widespread dissatisfaction with the state of the country and serious doubts about Biden's ability to achieve major improvements in American life. For example, nearly 70% of voters say the country's political and economic systems need major changes or even toppled entirely.
Polls suggest that Trump's strength among young and nonwhite voters has at least temporarily altered the electoral map, with Trump gaining significant leads in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada.
Even so, the former president will have to overcome several obstacles, including abortion, which is “one of his greatest vulnerabilities,” the newspaper states. Thus, 64% of voters in battleground states said that abortion should always or mostly be legal, including 44% of those who declare themselves supporters of Trump.
For Biden, the main challenge is the Gaza war and the unconditional support that the United States has given to Israel so far.
About 13% of voters who say they voted for Biden the last time now say they will not do so again because of the president's foreign policy or the war in Gaza.